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trodgers
01-31-2009, 04:12 PM
I have set % on my reports. Is that flop only or all 3 streets?

T

morny
02-01-2009, 12:41 PM
On my reports i only have flop set% which is obviously just the flop, maybe its a custom stat someone made and if so just compare it to flop set% to see

Byzantium
02-01-2009, 01:41 PM
does anyone know what the avg. % of Flop set % should be, in order to get an idea if you are hitting set at a higher or lower rate? Is it 12%?

Thanks

PCP Poker
02-01-2009, 02:29 PM
(2/50) = probability of first flop card making the set
(1-(2/50)) = probability of first flop card not making set
(2/49) = probability of second flop card making a set
(1-(2/49)) = probability of second flop card not making set
(2/48) = probability of third flop card making a set

so the probability of one of these cards making a set
= (2/50) + (1-(2/50))*(2/49) + (1-(2/50))*(1-(2/49))*(2/48)

=~ 11.75% or about 7.5-to-1

trodgers
02-01-2009, 03:11 PM
Thanks Morny. I was only interested in flop set % so that's nice.

For Jan I ran at 8.2% :-(

So its nice to know that I'm pretty far below expectation and can expect a snap back at some point (expectation is approx 11.8%).


T