TierTier
12-07-2008, 12:41 PM
Starting off, (1) how many hands would you say that you need on someone for this statistic to be relevant? I have guys in my database with over 10k hands who haven't had near 100+ chances to squeeze. And, even if they have had 100+, I don't think that's nearly enough to come to a statistically significant conclusion
(2) Assuming that a.) you have enough hands on someone that it is statistically significant and b.) you have an understanding of what could be considered "average" squeeze stats and "high" stats, how would this make a material difference in your play if your are the original raiser?
If I'm the original raiser and I have AA obviously I'm repopping. If I've got a mid pair I'm folding even if I know the guy is squeeze happy.
I cannot imagine a hand such that I'd act differently after a guy squeezes based upon a very high (or even a very low) statistically significant squeeze percentage if I am the first raiser.
To me, that seems to be the nature of a squeeze play. It puts such pressure on everyone that they are compelled to act in a way consistent with the true value of their hand.
Now, if I am the last of the limpers, the original raiser folds and so too do the rest of the limpers, then, perhaps if I see a guy is making a lot of squeeze plays I could put a move on him.
Other then that, I don't see how to use this statistic.
(3) Am I missing something? Is anyone making use of this stat and could you explain specifically how?
(2) Assuming that a.) you have enough hands on someone that it is statistically significant and b.) you have an understanding of what could be considered "average" squeeze stats and "high" stats, how would this make a material difference in your play if your are the original raiser?
If I'm the original raiser and I have AA obviously I'm repopping. If I've got a mid pair I'm folding even if I know the guy is squeeze happy.
I cannot imagine a hand such that I'd act differently after a guy squeezes based upon a very high (or even a very low) statistically significant squeeze percentage if I am the first raiser.
To me, that seems to be the nature of a squeeze play. It puts such pressure on everyone that they are compelled to act in a way consistent with the true value of their hand.
Now, if I am the last of the limpers, the original raiser folds and so too do the rest of the limpers, then, perhaps if I see a guy is making a lot of squeeze plays I could put a move on him.
Other then that, I don't see how to use this statistic.
(3) Am I missing something? Is anyone making use of this stat and could you explain specifically how?