OliK79
09-14-2010, 10:18 AM
Hey guys,
if the following sounds stupid, please forgive me ;)
I just wondered if it would be possible to have a kind of EV-adjusted graph that doesn't only calculate the EV against the actual cards the other guy holds, but against the range of the other guy.
I know, this only really works assuming a preflop allin, but my considerations are: I so often have the feeling (especially in shallow stack situations in a SNG) that I'm running really bad ALTHOUGH the EV adjusted graph goes down along with the green line. But a major factor that isn't considered is a situation similar to the following:
I'm in the bubble in a STT. I already push too tight regarding ICM considerations because I'm against superloose guys. As I get AQs, I'm happy to shove and do so. The guy behind me with something like 55/38 in the BB calls and shows pocket queens. It's no question that I "deserved" to lose against pocket queens and the all-in ev must have to take this into account. But it's also some kind of luck for this guy to hold queens at this moment, having called shoves with T7o before.
This is a kind of extreme example but you get the idea. I'm unfortunately not yet that comfortable with the mathematical factors of the game, but would it in some kind be possible to take that into account?
Perhaps by creating some custom filter? Or would this make no sense at all because it doesn't tell anything about my game?
Thanks in advance for reading,
Oli
if the following sounds stupid, please forgive me ;)
I just wondered if it would be possible to have a kind of EV-adjusted graph that doesn't only calculate the EV against the actual cards the other guy holds, but against the range of the other guy.
I know, this only really works assuming a preflop allin, but my considerations are: I so often have the feeling (especially in shallow stack situations in a SNG) that I'm running really bad ALTHOUGH the EV adjusted graph goes down along with the green line. But a major factor that isn't considered is a situation similar to the following:
I'm in the bubble in a STT. I already push too tight regarding ICM considerations because I'm against superloose guys. As I get AQs, I'm happy to shove and do so. The guy behind me with something like 55/38 in the BB calls and shows pocket queens. It's no question that I "deserved" to lose against pocket queens and the all-in ev must have to take this into account. But it's also some kind of luck for this guy to hold queens at this moment, having called shoves with T7o before.
This is a kind of extreme example but you get the idea. I'm unfortunately not yet that comfortable with the mathematical factors of the game, but would it in some kind be possible to take that into account?
Perhaps by creating some custom filter? Or would this make no sense at all because it doesn't tell anything about my game?
Thanks in advance for reading,
Oli