theuxtonix
08-05-2010, 04:27 AM
hello everybody...
i first want to apologize if i am not understood but my mother tongue is french and i only learned english at school... so if something is not clear in what i am writing don't hesitate to tell me so that i can explain my problem in other way...
i want to tell you that HEM is an extraordinary tool and i learn about it everyday thanks to the videos made by some admins or so (i don't know exactly who do these videos)...
my problem is the following : i really appreciate the cEV and $EV calculator because it permits to know where i stand if cards didn't fall for or against me (hope you understand what i mean)... but i have some questions about that because sometimes, i am favorite from the begining until the end of the hand and my $EV (or cEV) is negative! How is it possible?
for example : SnG => 2 players remaining (final HU)
I am at the BB (6920 chips) : Ante 50 + BB 600 (6270 chips)
Villain is at the Button (6580 chips) : Ante 50 + SB 300 (6230 chips)
he goes All In and i call
I got A7o and he has QJo wich mean that i am favorite for 56% against his 44%...
Flop is 7h K4 3s and odds are 72% for me and 28% for Villain
Turn is 6s and odds are 86% for me and 14% for Villain
River is 2d and odds are 100% for me and 0% for Villain (i win the tourney :D)
I win 6580 chips but the cEV tells me that i could have lost 5816 chips!
Can you explain me how this is possible? I am favorite pre-flop, flop, turn and river... how come that the difference is nearly 12000 chips between win and loss?
thank you for your explanations...
i first want to apologize if i am not understood but my mother tongue is french and i only learned english at school... so if something is not clear in what i am writing don't hesitate to tell me so that i can explain my problem in other way...
i want to tell you that HEM is an extraordinary tool and i learn about it everyday thanks to the videos made by some admins or so (i don't know exactly who do these videos)...
my problem is the following : i really appreciate the cEV and $EV calculator because it permits to know where i stand if cards didn't fall for or against me (hope you understand what i mean)... but i have some questions about that because sometimes, i am favorite from the begining until the end of the hand and my $EV (or cEV) is negative! How is it possible?
for example : SnG => 2 players remaining (final HU)
I am at the BB (6920 chips) : Ante 50 + BB 600 (6270 chips)
Villain is at the Button (6580 chips) : Ante 50 + SB 300 (6230 chips)
he goes All In and i call
I got A7o and he has QJo wich mean that i am favorite for 56% against his 44%...
Flop is 7h K4 3s and odds are 72% for me and 28% for Villain
Turn is 6s and odds are 86% for me and 14% for Villain
River is 2d and odds are 100% for me and 0% for Villain (i win the tourney :D)
I win 6580 chips but the cEV tells me that i could have lost 5816 chips!
Can you explain me how this is possible? I am favorite pre-flop, flop, turn and river... how come that the difference is nearly 12000 chips between win and loss?
thank you for your explanations...