Geof11061
10-26-2009, 10:08 PM
Hi all
I am looking to try and extract a specific stat from the reports and can't quite work out how to do this.
The stat is based around the EV stat, but calculates EV throughout the hand and not just when a player is all in.
The problem with the EV stat is that you may have over the course of the hand put in 80% of your stack with the best hand and the remaining 20% with the worst hand on the river, but the stat will only show a negative value for the all in part.
Let me give an example of what I'm after.
Say I am in SB with AcAs and opponent has KcKs in BB and we both have 100 BB in front of us.
I raise to 3BB, he reraises to 9BB and I flat call.
Flop 2h5d7c
I bet 15BB he calls
Turn 10d
I bet 50BB he calls
River Kh
I check, he goes all in for his last 26BB, I call
EV stat will show 0
I want a stat that shows
9 * (win % preflop) - 9 * (lose % preflop)
+
15 * (win % on flop) - 15 * (lose % preflop)
+
50 * (win % on turn) - 50 * (lose % on turn)
-
26
In this example the figure would be
9 * (.82-.17) + 15 * (.92-.08) + 50 * (.95-0.05) - 26
=
9*.65 + 15*.84 + 50*.9 - 26
=37.45
I believe this is a much better figure for calculating luck and should always converge to the true winning $ amount. All the numbers needed are in HEM somewhere (e.g. in the hand replayer) but how do I get them out - any ideas?
I am looking to try and extract a specific stat from the reports and can't quite work out how to do this.
The stat is based around the EV stat, but calculates EV throughout the hand and not just when a player is all in.
The problem with the EV stat is that you may have over the course of the hand put in 80% of your stack with the best hand and the remaining 20% with the worst hand on the river, but the stat will only show a negative value for the all in part.
Let me give an example of what I'm after.
Say I am in SB with AcAs and opponent has KcKs in BB and we both have 100 BB in front of us.
I raise to 3BB, he reraises to 9BB and I flat call.
Flop 2h5d7c
I bet 15BB he calls
Turn 10d
I bet 50BB he calls
River Kh
I check, he goes all in for his last 26BB, I call
EV stat will show 0
I want a stat that shows
9 * (win % preflop) - 9 * (lose % preflop)
+
15 * (win % on flop) - 15 * (lose % preflop)
+
50 * (win % on turn) - 50 * (lose % on turn)
-
26
In this example the figure would be
9 * (.82-.17) + 15 * (.92-.08) + 50 * (.95-0.05) - 26
=
9*.65 + 15*.84 + 50*.9 - 26
=37.45
I believe this is a much better figure for calculating luck and should always converge to the true winning $ amount. All the numbers needed are in HEM somewhere (e.g. in the hand replayer) but how do I get them out - any ideas?