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View Full Version : SNGs Am I really this lucky?



ninjatunez
06-15-2009, 07:17 PM
I was a bit shocked to see how lucky HEM claims I am see pic. Can this graph really be that correct? I could accept an adjusted winnings line thats lower than actual winnings, but its completely negative :mad:

http://www.imagechicken.com/uploads/tn1245110940008643100.jpg (http://www.imagechicken.com/viewpic.php?p=1245110940008643100&x=jpg)

I play what I think is a very aggressive style VPIP 46.9, PFR 34 (any other stats i should post let me know). Would this skew the ICM data at all??

Can anyone tell me that i'm playing a good game even with that luck graph??

Cheers Ninja

fabio
06-15-2009, 07:31 PM
Not that big of a sample size but its possible, yes

ninjatunez
06-16-2009, 04:06 AM
Is that a yes to being this lucky, or a yes to me still playing a good game but one that isn't measured by luck adjustment that well? Giving an educated guess?

fabio
06-16-2009, 08:24 AM
It's a yes to being lucky over this small sample size, I'm sure it will even out once you have 10k+ tourneys played

ninjatunez
06-16-2009, 08:46 AM
So basically good advice would be to quit playing and cash in my winnings now!

In theory if i carry on playing like this over £10k tourneys, i'd expect to lose $70k, but currently i'm up $700.

Is ICM really that accurate?

What hope can you give me?

fabio
06-16-2009, 09:47 AM
I'm not sure what you wanna hear from me ;)