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uneducated
05-01-2009, 01:01 AM
The probability that any player will experience a downswing of size b after a total of 100*t hands have been played is,

1 - e^{-2t μ ^2/( α^2(e^{2b μ / α ^2} - 1) - 2b μ)}.

Where,

t = the number of sets of 100 hands
μ = win-rate
α = standard deviation
b = size of the downswing


http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/32/beginners-questions/standard-variance-5max-nlh-461565/

can anyone code this please?